A Framework for Extracting the Probability of Default from Stock Option Prices Abstract This paper develops a framework to estimate the probability of default (PD) implied in listed stock options. The underlying option pricing model measures PD as the intensity of a jump diffusion process, in which the underlying stock price jumps to zero at...+
Tag Archives: Default
Paper: Default y oportunidades perdidas
Default and Lost Opportunities: A Message from Argentina for Euro-Zone Countries Persistent euro-zone turmoil has kept the world economy on edge. Doubts about the ability of many countries in the single-currency region to service their sovereign debt are rising along with the interest rates the affected nations must pay to roll over maturing obligations. Link al...+
Paper: Relación Bono-CDS, Crisis Europea
The Link between Eurozone Sovereign Debt and CDS Prices Abstract We perform a theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between the price of Eurozone sovereign-linked credit default swaps (CDS) and the same sovereign bond markets during the Eurozone debt crisis of 2009-2011. We first present a simple model which establishes the no-arbitrage relationship between...+
Tabla du Jour: Default, un poco de historia
(Fuente: Greece’s debt exchange, Fixed Income Research, Credit Suisse, 27 February 2012) ...+
Infograma du Jour: Grecia y su PSI
(Fuente: Greek PSI: Questions & Answers, BNP Paribas, 22 February 2012)...+
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